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Serzh Sargsyan is leading in poll at presidential election

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Serzh Sargsyan, Armenia's Prime Minister, leads the race of the presidential campaign in Armenia, says Andrew Cooper, director of the British Populus polling company. According to the Populus data, 50.7% of the Armenian adults would vote for him, if the elections were to take place tomorrow. Sargsyan leads with a strong gap. According to the same data, Artur Baghdasaryan, from the Orinats Yerkir opposition party is the second, with 13.4%. Levon Ter-Petrosyan, the former president of Armenia is the third (12.6%). Results for other six candidates are below 10%.

Today is the last day for the presidential nominees to withdraw their candidacies. According to the Central Electoral Committee, all the nine candidates continue their presidential race. The poll shows that since last year, Armenian voters have become more hopeful about the future – of the country and of their own – and increasingly think Armenia is moving in the right direction. The number of optimists has increased by 10% since April 2007 (from 43% to 53%).

The nation-wide survey was conducted between January 21 and 29, 2008. 1,500 Armenian adults were interviewed face-to-face, the statistical error is 2.6% (at 95% confidence). The poll was commissioned by Armenia Public TV & Radio.

Populus is one of Britain's leading polling companies, with a strong record of accuracy in election polls. At the last UK election, Populus had an average error of just 0.25%. Populus conducts voting polls for a wide range of high profile clients, including BBC, The Times, Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal- Democrats.

12:27 02/08/2008

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